Skip to main content

Starmer survives as PM with reduced majority by 2028-12-31

Make a pick
user-generated· leadership

Starmer survives as PM with reduced majority by 2028-12-31

Market overview

Despite internal dissent, Keir Starmer is likely to retain his position through 2025 by leveraging party discipline and avoiding a full-blown rebellion. The UK political system historically favors stability, reducing the likelihood of an immediate resignation.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
55%
Closes
2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

More leadership markets

Browse all leadership markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…