Labour MPs vote to oust Keir Starmer by October 2027

Market overview

The number of Labour MPs publicly calling for Starmer's resignation has reached 87, exceeding the threshold historically associated with leadership challenges. The party's internal rules require a threshold of 20% of MPs to trigger a no-confidence vote, which is now within reach.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

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