Mispricing Radar

Mispricing Radar — Live Arbitrage Signals

Live divergences between Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predictagon AI fair-value probabilities. Spot mispricings across prediction markets in real time — each signal links to the underlying market and its current odds.

Mispricing signals (100)

• Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

  polymarket · Δ 0.85

• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

  polymarket · Δ 0.8

• Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

  polymarket · Δ 0.54

• Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-01 House election by 55% or more?

  polymarket · Δ 0.54

• Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?

  polymarket · Δ 0.51

• Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner

  polymarket · Δ 0.5

• Will Tsao Erh-chang win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?

  polymarket · Δ 0.5

• Will Josh Allen have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

  polymarket · Δ 0.42

• Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

  polymarket · Δ 0.37

• Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?

  polymarket · Δ 0.35

• Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2028?

  polymarket · Δ 0.34

• Will Yair Rodriguez fight Kevin Vallejos next?

  polymarket · Δ 0.32

• Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 1?

  polymarket · Δ 0.29

• Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-2.5)

  polymarket · Δ 0.24

• Will "Coyote vs Acme" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

  polymarket · Δ 0.24

• Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-08-30?

  polymarket · Δ 0.22

• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

  polymarket · Δ 0.2

• Salivonchyk Vasyl vs. Treshchetka Mykola: Total Games O/U 3.5

  polymarket · Δ 0.2

• Will Anthropic’s valuation be at least $2.25T at the end of August 2026?

  polymarket · Δ 0.2

• Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

  polymarket · Δ 0.19

• Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-14 House election by 65% or more?

  polymarket · Δ 0.19

• Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?

  polymarket · Δ 0.17

• Spread: Venezia FC (-2.5)

  polymarket · Δ 0.16

• US Open WTA: Magda Linette vs Francesca Jones

  polymarket · Δ 0.16