Virginia 2nd District special election turnout will exceed 50% of 2027 general election

The special election to replace Kiggans will draw higher-than-usual turnout due to competitive national implications. Midterm special elections in competitive districts typically see turnout between 40-60% of the prior general election, with this one trending toward the higher end.

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2027-12-31