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EU wildfire-related insurance claims to exceed €2.5B in 2026

Resolves: Official data from the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) confirms total wildfire-related insurance claims in the EU for 2026 exceed €2.5 billion.

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EU wildfire-related insurance claims to exceed €2.5B in 2026

Market overview

The recent Spanish wildfire will trigger a wave of insurance claims across Southern Europe, making 2026 the costliest year for wildfire damage in EU history. Insurers will report combined losses surpassing €2.5 billion due to property, agricultural, and infrastructure damage.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
80%
Closes
2027-01-31

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Resolution criteria

Official data from the European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA) confirms total wildfire-related insurance claims in the EU for 2026 exceed €2.5 billion.

Source: user-generated

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