Will the US GDP growth rate fall below 1.5% in Q1 2025?

Market overview

The headline suggests potential 'economic costs' from an immigration crackdown, which could manifest as reduced labor supply and economic activity. If a new administration implements such policies, their impact might begin to be reflected in early 2025 economic data.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2026-11-26

More Economics markets

• OPEC partnership or acquisition announced? — 32% Yes
• Will Logistics Automation stock price increase by November 2026? — 59% Yes
• Grammy Awards partnership or acquisition announced? — 58% Yes
• Will IPO Market stock price increase by September 2026? — 46% Yes
• Will Interest Rates stock price increase by April 2027? — 41% Yes
• Chainsaw Man partnership or acquisition announced? — 74% Yes
• Fusion Energy partnership or acquisition announced? — 55% Yes
• Will Doja Cat stock price increase by November 2026? — 66% Yes

Browse all Economics markets →