Microsoft misses 2030 carbon-negative goal by 18%
Resolves: Microsoft's verified Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions for 2026 are at least 18% higher than the trajectory required to reach carbon negativity by 2030.
user-generated· regulatory
Microsoft misses 2030 carbon-negative goal by 18%
Market overview
Microsoft will fail to achieve its carbon-negative target by 2030, with emissions reductions lagging behind infrastructure growth. The company's own sustainability report and independent analysis indicate a deficit of 18% below the required threshold.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Microsoft's verified Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions for 2026 are at least 18% higher than the trajectory required to reach carbon negativity by 2030.
Source: user-generated
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