user-generated· regulatory
Fed's dual mandate revised under Trump's second term
Market overview
If Trump wins reelection in November 2024, Kevin Warsh's influence will lead to legislative or executive action reducing the Fed's dual mandate (price stability and maximum employment) to focus primarily on price stability by 2026. This would represent a historic shift in central bank policy direction.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
More regulatory markets
- UK government increases teacher pay offer by 2%+ in 2027 — 45% Yes
- FIFA issues formal disciplinary action against Trump by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
- UK government to allocate £200M for river clean-up by 2026 — 70% Yes
- FIFA issues formal reprimand against U.S. Soccer for Trump interference — 75% Yes
- Trump administration implements AI guardrails by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- Senate blocks OMB grant rule by December 2026 — 72% Yes
- Biden administration approves ICE detention project within 6 months — 40% Yes
- Forge Global secures Anthropic approval within 6 months — 75% Yes
Loading…