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Global oil prices rise above $100 per barrel by December 31, 2026

Resolves: Brent crude oil price exceeds $100 per barrel for at least three consecutive trading days, as reported by Bloomberg or ICE Brent futures settlement prices.

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Global oil prices rise above $100 per barrel by December 31, 2026

Market overview

Trump's termination of the Iran ceasefire and subsequent U.S. actions will disrupt oil supply from the Strait of Hormuz, while Iran's retaliation further destabilizes the region. Combined with OPEC+ production cuts, this will push Brent crude prices above $100 per barrel.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
75%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Brent crude oil price exceeds $100 per barrel for at least three consecutive trading days, as reported by Bloomberg or ICE Brent futures settlement prices.

Source: user-generated

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