user-generated· adoption
Discord’s user retention drops 5% by Q4 2026
Discord will experience a 5% drop in monthly active users by Q4 2026 compared to pre-incident levels. The decline will stem from user frustration over false bans and migration to alternative platforms.
adoption · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- Major tech companies to mandate AI voice tools in offices by 2027 — 70% Yes
- iOS 27 public release sees 20% adoption within first 6 weeks — 60% Yes
- Animal rights NGOs expand operations in Uganda by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Passive ETF inflows into SpaceX exceed $1.5 billion by October 2026 — 55% Yes
- Prince Harry's UK visit increases public support for Invictus Games — 70% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
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