Deep-sea mining leads to extinction of 50% of deep-sea mollusc species by 2030
Resolves: At least 50% of the deep-sea mollusc species listed as Critically Endangered or Endangered in the 2026 IUCN Red List due to deep-sea mining will be declared extinct or extinct in the wild by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN).
Deep-sea mining leads to extinction of 50% of deep-sea mollusc specie…
Market overview
By 2030, the majority of deep-sea vent mollusc species currently classified as endangered will go extinct due to commercial deep-sea mining operations. Regulatory delays and enforcement gaps will fail to prevent irreversible habitat destruction.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2030-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
At least 50% of the deep-sea mollusc species listed as Critically Endangered or Endangered in the 2026 IUCN Red List due to deep-sea mining will be declared extinct or extinct in the wild by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN).
Source: user-generated
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