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user-generated· regulatory

F-35 sale to Turkey approved by U.S. Congress by 2026-12-31

Congress must approve any major arms sale, including F-35s, under U.S. law. Trump’s expressed willingness and ongoing Pentagon review increase the likelihood of a congressional push. Israel’s objections may slow but not block the process.

regulatory · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-12-31

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