US-China trade deal breakthrough by Q2 2027

Market overview

The Trump-Xi meeting will yield a temporary tariff reduction or new trade agreement framework by April 1, 2025, reducing tensions in key sectors like semiconductors and agriculture. Economic pressure and election timing will incentivize both sides to compromise.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

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