10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.3% by end of July 2026

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield will climb above 4.3% by July 31, 2026, as investors price in delayed rate cuts and higher inflation expectations. This reflects growing skepticism about the Fed’s ability to ease monetary policy soon.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

62%

Closes

2026-07-31

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