user-generated· diplomacy
Modi returns AI award to Seychelles by end of 2026
Market overview
In response to the growing controversy, PM Modi will formally return the 'Guardian of the Blue Horizon' award to Seychelles authorities before December 31, 2026. This move aims to mitigate diplomatic damage and address domestic criticism over the award's questionable origins.
diplomacy prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More diplomacy markets
- Seychelles issues a corrected version of the award to Modi by 2026-08-15 — 60% Yes
- US State Department will issue statement questioning award's legitimacy — 65% Yes
- U.S.-China joint statement reaffirms Taiwan status quo — 85% Yes
- Diplomatic tensions escalate post-match regardless of outcome — 55% Yes
- US Ambassador Bill White faces reprimand from the State Department — 72% Yes
- Modi cancels state visit to a Western nation within 90 days due to award controversies — 55% Yes
- Modi receives at least one more foreign award by December 2026 — 85% Yes
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