Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

General · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

8%

Closes

2026-12-31

More General markets

• Anime faces significant controversy? — 43% Yes
• Paramount Plus faces significant controversy? — 49% Yes
• Will Nuclear Energy dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 34% Yes
• Avengers breaks new record this year? — 50% Yes
• Jokowi faces significant controversy? — 65% Yes
• MCU faces significant controversy? — 27% Yes
• Coca Cola breaks new record this year? — 63% Yes
• aespa breaks new record this year? — 56% Yes

Browse all General markets →