Wes Streeting will become UK Prime Minister by 2027

Market overview

Wes Streeting has emerged as the most prominent potential successor to Keir Starmer, with strong support from Labour MPs and cabinet allies. His leadership ambitions and communication skills position him as a frontrunner if a contest is triggered.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2027-12-31

More leadership markets

• Starmer survives leadership challenge, cabinet reshuffle by September 2027 — 55% Yes
• Labour MPs to trigger leadership challenge within 30 days — 60% Yes
• Labour Party replaces Starmer with Angela Rayner by 2027 — 45% Yes
• Prince Harry meets King Charles III during UK visit — 45% Yes
• Andy Burnham will win a parliamentary seat by 2028 — 60% Yes
• Labour Party removes Starmer as leader by October 2028 — 70% Yes
• Keir Starmer will survive Streeting's challenge by 2028-10-31 — 75% Yes
• Wes Streeting will announce a leadership bid against Keir Starmer by July 2027 — 70% Yes

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