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Republican-controlled Congress passes federal voting restriction bill

Resolves: The Republican-controlled U.S. Congress enacts a federal law restricting mail-in voting or requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration before December 31, 2026.

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user-generated· regulatory

Republican-controlled Congress passes federal voting restriction bill

Market overview

Trump explicitly called for Congress to pass legislation limiting mail ballots and requiring proof of citizenship to register. With Republican majorities in both chambers and Trump's renewed push, the probability of such a bill becoming law by December 2026 increases significantly.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The Republican-controlled U.S. Congress enacts a federal law restricting mail-in voting or requiring proof of citizenship for voter registration before December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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