Republican-controlled Congress passes federal voting restriction bill

Market overview

Trump explicitly called for Congress to pass legislation limiting mail ballots and requiring proof of citizenship to register. With Republican majorities in both chambers and Trump's renewed push, the probability of such a bill becoming law by December 2026 increases significantly.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-12-31

More regulatory markets

• UK government increases teacher pay offer by 2%+ in 2027 — 45% Yes
• FIFA issues formal disciplinary action against Trump by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
• UK government to allocate £200M for river clean-up by 2026 — 70% Yes
• FIFA issues formal reprimand against U.S. Soccer for Trump interference — 75% Yes
• Trump administration implements AI guardrails by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• Senate blocks OMB grant rule by December 2026 — 72% Yes
• Biden administration approves ICE detention project within 6 months — 40% Yes
• Forge Global secures Anthropic approval within 6 months — 75% Yes

Browse all regulatory markets →