UK inflation exceeds 3.5% by September 2026

The Bank of England has signaled potential interest rate hikes due to persistent inflation pressures. Given the current ONS data and economic forecasts, inflation is likely to rise above the 3.5% threshold by early September 2026, exceeding the Bank of England's target.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2026-09-15

More macro markets

• Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
• S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
• Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
• Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
• Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
• Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
• NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →