Will any military vessel from a non-littoral state (e.g., US, UK, China) be involved in a direct hostile engagement within the Strait of Hormuz before June 30, 2025?

The standoff in the Strait of Hormuz often involves naval presence from various international powers. A direct hostile engagement would signify a significant escalation of tensions in the region.

Implied probability (Yes)

25%

Closes

2026-09-03