Zack Polanski will resign as Green Party leader by 2027

Market overview

Polanski's admission of an 'unintentional mistake' over council tax payments, despite the Green Party's initial support, may lead to increased internal pressure and public scrutiny. Given his role as a high-profile political figure, further revelations could force his resignation within the year.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2027-12-31

More leadership markets

• Starmer survives leadership challenge, cabinet reshuffle by September 2027 — 55% Yes
• Labour MPs to trigger leadership challenge within 30 days — 60% Yes
• Labour Party replaces Starmer with Angela Rayner by 2027 — 45% Yes
• Prince Harry meets King Charles III during UK visit — 45% Yes
• Andy Burnham will win a parliamentary seat by 2028 — 60% Yes
• Labour Party removes Starmer as leader by October 2028 — 70% Yes
• Keir Starmer will survive Streeting's challenge by 2028-10-31 — 75% Yes
• Wes Streeting will announce a leadership bid against Keir Starmer by July 2027 — 70% Yes

Browse all leadership markets →