Vance's favorability among all Americans exceeds Trump's by 2027

Market overview

Vance's current underwater favorability among all Americans mirrors Trump's at roughly -10%, but his aggressive media strategy and diplomatic breakthroughs (e.g., Iran peace deal) could erode Trump's lead. Given Vance's rising profile and Trump's polarizing image, Vance is likely to surpass Trump in net favorability by mid-2027.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2027-06-30

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