AOC-backed Chris Rabb loses May 19 PA primary

Progressive state lawmaker Chris Rabb, endorsed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and a vocal critic of Gov. Josh Shapiro, will fail to secure the Democratic nomination in Pennsylvania's May 19 House primary. Shapiro's behind-the-scenes opposition, including steering unions away from negative attacks on centrist rivals, will contribute to Rabb's defeat.

Implied probability (Yes)

72%