SEC to finalize stricter bank capital rules by Dec 2026

The SEC will conclude its review of Basel III endgame proposals and implement final capital requirements by December 2026. Industry lobbying has failed to derail the process.

regulatory · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

88%

Closes

2026-12-31

More regulatory markets

• UK government increases teacher pay offer by 2%+ in 2027 — 45% Yes
• FIFA issues formal disciplinary action against Trump by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
• UK government to allocate £200M for river clean-up by 2026 — 70% Yes
• FIFA issues formal reprimand against U.S. Soccer for Trump interference — 75% Yes
• Trump administration implements AI guardrails by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• Biden administration approves ICE detention project within 6 months — 40% Yes
• FIFA reinstates Balogun suspension within 30 days — 70% Yes
• Forge Global secures Anthropic approval within 6 months — 75% Yes

Browse all regulatory markets →