user-generated· adoption
Bluesky’s daily active users grow 20% by end-2026 under Schneider
Toni Schneider’s permanent appointment as CEO and focus on smaller, private communities are expected to reverse Bluesky’s recent user decline. The platform’s decentralized AT Protocol and recent political engagement spikes provide tailwinds for growth.
adoption · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- PGA Tour Shop app downloads increase 25% YoY in 2026 — 68% Yes
- Prince Harry's Invictus Games funding drops 15% by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Bluesky's AT Protocol gains adoption by 3 major third-party apps by Q1 2027 — 55% Yes
- Wise secures 10+ new U.S. banking partnerships within 12 months of dual listing — 75% Yes
- iOS 27 public release sees 20% adoption within first 6 weeks — 60% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
Loading…