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Will the US Federal Reserve raise its benchmark interest rate at its next scheduled meeting following the Fed chairman's key address?

Resolves: YES if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces an increase in the federal funds rate target range at its first scheduled meeting following the chairman's address. Otherwise, NO.

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user-generated· Economics

Will the US Federal Reserve raise its benchmark interest rate at its…

Market overview

The Fed chairman is scheduled to give a key address, which often provides signals about future monetary policy. However, current market sentiment leans towards rates holding steady or even decreasing later in the year.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
15%
Closes
2026-11-26

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces an increase in the federal funds rate target range at its first scheduled meeting following the chairman's address. Otherwise, NO.

Source: user-generated

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