China's diesel export quota increases by 20% by Q4 2026

To manage surplus gasoline and diesel inventories, China will expand diesel export quotas. This follows the directive to maintain high output and stabilize domestic fuel markets. Exports are expected to rise by at least 20% from current levels by December 31, 2026.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

65%

Closes

2026-12-31

More macro markets

• Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
• S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
• Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
• Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
• Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
• Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
• NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →