Refugee crisis in El Obeid to worsen, exceeding 150,000 by November 2…

The ongoing conflict and drone strikes in El Obeid will continue to displace residents and attract refugees from surrounding areas. With the city already hosting around 100,000 refugees, the worsening security situation and lack of humanitarian access will likely push the refugee population above 150,000 by November 2026.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

80%

Closes

2026-11-30

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