Mpox spreads to at least one new West African country by end of 2026
Resolves: Official WHO report confirms mpox case in Senegal or Guinea (not Guinea-Bissau) by 2026-12-31.
user-generated· event
Mpox spreads to at least one new West African country by end of 2026
Market overview
Confirmed mpox case reported in a country bordering Guinea-Bissau (Senegal, Guinea) by Dec 31, 2026.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Official WHO report confirms mpox case in Senegal or Guinea (not Guinea-Bissau) by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- Will HCAC announce LOI by 2026-12-31? — 25% Yes
- Will PREAXIA HEALTH CARE PAYMENT SYSTEMS INC. (PAXH) (CIK 0001350156) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Venyra announce a strategic partnership by 2026-12-31? — 60% Yes
- Will the CEO's line of credit be fully drawn? — 85% Yes
- Will enGene announce a new partnership or licensing deal before Q1 2027? — 50% Yes
- Will Where Food Comes From, Inc. (WFCF) (CIK 0001360565) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) (CIK 0001943896) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Pharma-Bio Serv, Inc. (PBSV) (CIK 0001304161) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…