First Turkish F-35 delivery occurs by 2028-Q1
Resolves: Turkey receives delivery of at least one operational F-35 fighter jet, confirmed by official statements or imagery, by January 31, 2028.
user-generated· event
First Turkish F-35 delivery occurs by 2028-Q1
Market overview
Assuming Turkey rejoins the program and the sale proceeds, delivery of F-35 jets to Turkey would likely follow within 12-18 months. Logistical and training timelines align with this window if no major political interruptions occur.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 50%
- Closes
- 2028-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Turkey receives delivery of at least one operational F-35 fighter jet, confirmed by official statements or imagery, by January 31, 2028.
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- Will HCAC announce LOI by 2026-12-31? — 25% Yes
- Will PREAXIA HEALTH CARE PAYMENT SYSTEMS INC. (PAXH) (CIK 0001350156) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Venyra announce a strategic partnership by 2026-12-31? — 60% Yes
- Will the CEO's line of credit be fully drawn? — 85% Yes
- Will enGene announce a new partnership or licensing deal before Q1 2027? — 50% Yes
- Will Where Food Comes From, Inc. (WFCF) (CIK 0001360565) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) (CIK 0001943896) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Pharma-Bio Serv, Inc. (PBSV) (CIK 0001304161) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…