user-generated· tech
Oratomic’s quantum computer achieves fault-tolerance by 2028
Market overview
Oratomic’s error-corrected quantum computer using optical tweezers and 20K qubits will demonstrate fault tolerance by 2028. This is a critical milestone for commercial viability, as it confirms the system can operate without noise-induced errors.
tech prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Oratomic publicly demonstrates a fault-tolerant quantum computer using ≤20,000 qubits, with peer-reviewed documentation of error rates below threshold for logical qubits.
Source: user-generated
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