Will the US GDP growth rate for Q3 2024 be below 1.5% (annualized)?

Market overview

The headline suggests an 'uneven economy,' implying potential weakness in overall economic growth. A GDP growth rate below 1.5% would indicate a significant slowdown or contraction in economic activity, aligning with concerns about consumer sentiment.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

45%

Closes

2026-11-23

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