S&P 500 energy sector outperforms broader index by 12% by Q4 2026

Market overview

Geopolitical tensions from the Iran war will sustain elevated oil prices, benefiting energy stocks. The S&P 500 Energy Index has historically outperformed the broader market by 8-15% during prolonged energy crises.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Source: user-generated

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