Will the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond increase by at least…

Market overview

Bessent's bond buybacks are noted to 'jolt bonds,' implying market volatility or price movements. Significant buybacks could reduce bond supply, potentially impacting yields, but broader economic factors are also at play. A 25 basis point move is a notable shift.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-11-17

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