Highway trust fund revenue drops by 10% or more in 2027 due to gas tax suspension

The federal gas tax funds the Highway Trust Fund, which relies on ~$40 billion annually from the 18.4-cent tax. Suspension for even a few months would reduce revenue, as projected by Congressional Budget Office estimates. Shortfalls would require alternative funding or cuts to infrastructure projects.

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2027-12-31