user-generated· adoption
DeepSeek’s US market share in AI models will exceed 15% by 2026-12-31
DeepSeek’s open-source AI model has gained rapid adoption among US developers and enterprises. If this trend continues, it could capture a significant share of the US AI model market by year-end, challenging proprietary solutions.
adoption · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- PGA Tour Shop app downloads increase 25% YoY in 2026 — 68% Yes
- Prince Harry's Invictus Games funding drops 15% by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Bluesky's AT Protocol gains adoption by 3 major third-party apps by Q1 2027 — 55% Yes
- Wise secures 10+ new U.S. banking partnerships within 12 months of dual listing — 75% Yes
- iOS 27 public release sees 20% adoption within first 6 weeks — 60% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
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