user-generated· Economics
Will the United States' total annual crude oil imports from Russia ex…
Market overview
The headline suggests a potential future 'Russia oil deal' under a Trump administration and efforts to block it. This question measures whether such a deal, or other factors, will lead to a significant increase in US reliance on Russian oil by 2028.
Economics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 20%
- Closes
- 2029-06-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the total volume of crude oil imported by the United States from the Russian Federation, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) or a successor agency, exceeds 10,000,000 barrels for the full calendar year 2028. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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