Will the IRS issue new or updated specific guidance on deductible bus…

Market overview

The recent court ruling highlights ambiguity in tax law for influencers. Increased scrutiny and the growing influencer economy may prompt the IRS to provide clearer guidelines to avoid future disputes.

Legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2026-11-23

More Legal markets

• Will new charges be filed related to Ghislaine Maxwell by Q2 2026? — 25% Yes
• Will new Alan Dershowitz documents be released by the DOJ in H1 2026? — 60% Yes
• Will Epstein Island be featured in a major documentary about the Epstein case? — 33% Yes
• Will Epstein 2008 Plea Deal make public statements about Epstein connections by end of 2026? — 19% Yes
• Will Epstein 2008 Plea Deal reach a settlement in Epstein-related lawsuits by H1 2026? — 19% Yes
• Will Alexander Acosta Plea Deal reach a settlement in Epstein-related lawsuits by 2026? — 57% Yes
• Will Ghislaine Maxwell be subpoenaed in connection with Epstein case by September 2026? — 60% Yes
• Will Epstein SDNY Indictment make public statements about Epstein connections by Q2 2026? — 33% Yes

Browse all Legal markets →