National median home price drops below $430,000 by March 2027

Market overview

Tight inventory and high mortgage rates will continue to price out marginal buyers, leading to price corrections. By March 2027, the national median home price will fall below $430,000 as sellers adjust to lower demand.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-10-07

More price markets

• Samsung Electronics market cap to exceed $1.2T by Q3 2026 — 78% Yes
• Cisco stock to rise above $65 by Q3 2026 — 72% Yes
• Private jet charter prices increase 20% in 2027 — 75% Yes
• Google Messages sees 30% user growth in 6 months post-launch — 70% Yes
• US AI chip ETF doubles in value by 2026-09-30 — 65% Yes
• X’s stock price rises 10% within 3 months of History tab launch — 55% Yes
• TSK enters top 5 Spanish engineering firms by market cap — 60% Yes
• Ford stock volatility exceeds 60% annualized within 6 months — 75% Yes

Browse all price markets →