user-generated· regulatory
US bans AI chip exports to China
Market overview
US Commerce Dept imposes new export controls on AI chips to China by Dec 31, 2026
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
More regulatory markets
- UK government increases teacher pay offer by 2%+ in 2027 — 45% Yes
- FIFA issues formal disciplinary action against Trump by 2026-12-31 — 70% Yes
- UK government to allocate £200M for river clean-up by 2026 — 70% Yes
- FIFA issues formal reprimand against U.S. Soccer for Trump interference — 75% Yes
- Trump administration implements AI guardrails by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- Senate blocks OMB grant rule by December 2026 — 72% Yes
- Biden administration approves ICE detention project within 6 months — 40% Yes
- Forge Global secures Anthropic approval within 6 months — 75% Yes
Loading…