HDV ETF outperformance vs S&P 500 by end of 2026

Market overview

The iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV) will outperform the S&P 500 index by at least 5% in total return for the year 2026. This prediction is based on continued investor preference for dividend-paying stocks amid market volatility and geopolitical risks.

earnings prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

More earnings markets

• Driving instructor revenue drops 15% in Q3 2027 due to test booking changes — 68% Yes
• Forum AI raises $50M+ in Series B funding by 2027-03-31 — 60% Yes
• Anthropic's compute deal with xAI will underperform revenue targets by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• Titleist sells more clubs than Callaway in 2026 — 72% Yes
• Sadi Thermal Machines secures $50M+ funding round by 2027 — 70% Yes
• Lime achieves profitability within 12 months post-IPO — 55% Yes
• SK Hynix ADRs to price at or above midpoint range by July 10 — 75% Yes
• SpaceX AI division revenue exceeds $500M in 2025 — 65% Yes

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