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Will New York State pass legislation by December 31, 2027, that significantly restricts ICE's ability to operate within state correctional facilities?

Resolves: YES if a bill is signed into law by the NY Governor by Dec 31, 2024, that explicitly limits or requires warrants for ICE access to state correctional facilities. NO otherwise.

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user-generated· Legal

Will New York State pass legislation by December 31, 2027, that signi…

Market overview

The headline 'Albany reels in ICE' suggests legislative action from New York's capital. This question focuses on whether this action will translate into concrete legal restrictions on ICE's access to state prisons and jails.

Legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2029-08-21

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How this resolves

YES if a bill is signed into law by the NY Governor by Dec 31, 2024, that explicitly limits or requires warrants for ICE access to state correctional facilities. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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