user-generated· leadership
Farage's approval rating among Reform UK voters drops below 50% by Oc…
Market overview
Farage's financial controversies and perceived hypocrisy in reframing his campaign are likely to erode support among Reform UK's base. Polling data suggests a decline in his personal approval, with a majority of Reform voters turning critical by October 2026.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-10-31
More leadership markets
- Starmer survives leadership challenge, cabinet reshuffle by September 2027 — 55% Yes
- Labour MPs to trigger leadership challenge within 30 days — 60% Yes
- Labour Party replaces Starmer with Angela Rayner by 2027 — 45% Yes
- Prince Harry meets King Charles III during UK visit — 45% Yes
- Andy Burnham will win a parliamentary seat by 2028 — 60% Yes
- Labour Party removes Starmer as leader by October 2028 — 70% Yes
- Keir Starmer will survive Streeting's challenge by 2028-10-31 — 75% Yes
- Wes Streeting will announce a leadership bid against Keir Starmer by July 2027 — 70% Yes
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