Will the margin of victory in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary runoff be less than 10 percentage points?
Resolves: The difference in the official vote percentages between the winner and the runner-up in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary runoff, as certified by the South Carolina Election Commission, is less than 10.0 percentage points.
Will the margin of victory in the South Carolina Republican Senate pr…
Market overview
While Graham is favored, a runoff implies a closer contest than a typical primary. A significant challenge from Norman could narrow the final vote difference.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-11-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
The difference in the official vote percentages between the winner and the runner-up in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary runoff, as certified by the South Carolina Election Commission, is less than 10.0 percentage points.
Source: user-generated
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