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S&P 500 profit margins decline by year-end 2026

Resolves: S&P 500 net profit margin reported by FactSet is below 15% for the quarter ending 2026-12-31.

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user-generated· earnings

S&P 500 profit margins decline by year-end 2026

Market overview

S&P 500 net profit margins fall below 15% by 2026-12-31 as cost pressures rise.

earnings prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

S&P 500 net profit margin reported by FactSet is below 15% for the quarter ending 2026-12-31.

Source: user-generated

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