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user-generated· macro

Iran’s oil exports fall below 500,000 barrels per day by November 2026

The U.S. revoked Iran’s general license for oil sales on 2026-07-08. Combined with renewed sanctions pressure and shipping disruptions, exports are set to halve within four months.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-11-08

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