user-generated· macro
Iran’s oil exports fall below 500,000 barrels per day by November 2026
The U.S. revoked Iran’s general license for oil sales on 2026-07-08. Combined with renewed sanctions pressure and shipping disruptions, exports are set to halve within four months.
macro · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-11-08
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