user-generated· adoption
DeepSeek surpasses 30 million active users by 2026-11-15
Market overview
DeepSeek's open-source AI models gain rapid traction globally, particularly in regions underserved by US tech giants. User adoption metrics confirm its rise as a major AI alternative.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-11-15
More adoption markets
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage exceeds desktop by Q1 2027 — 72% Yes
- OpenAI Codex mobile usage surpasses desktop within 6 months — 70% Yes
- PGA Tour Shop app downloads increase 25% YoY in 2026 — 68% Yes
- Prince Harry's Invictus Games funding drops 15% by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Bluesky's AT Protocol gains adoption by 3 major third-party apps by Q1 2027 — 55% Yes
- Wise secures 10+ new U.S. banking partnerships within 12 months of dual listing — 75% Yes
- iOS 27 public release sees 20% adoption within first 6 weeks — 60% Yes
- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
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