user-generated· adoption
Claude Code's China market share drops below 5% by 2027-01-31
Claude Code's usage in China will plummet following Alibaba's ban and Anthropic's enforcement of access restrictions. Competitors like Qoder and other local AI tools will capture the majority of the market share.
adoption · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 90%
- Closes
- 2027-01-31
More adoption markets
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- Decline in assets under management for single-stock leveraged ETFs by 2027-06-30 — 60% Yes
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- Anthropic's enterprise AI share surpasses 30% by Q4 2026 — 75% Yes
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