Will a major social media platform lose 20% of US monthly active user…

Market overview

This market investigates whether any major social media platform will experience a 20% or greater decline in monthly active users within the US during 2026. Such a decline could signal shifts in user preferences, competition, or platform viability.

Technology prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

22%

Closes

2026-12-31

More Technology markets

• Mars Colony partnership or acquisition announced? — 72% Yes
• EV Charging partnership or acquisition announced? — 43% Yes
• Robot Workers achieves major milestone? — 72% Yes
• Major Startup Funding development by October 2026? — 72% Yes
• Major NATO Expansion development by July 2027? — 31% Yes
• Major Ahsoka development by November 2026? — 49% Yes
• Major Warriors development by April 2027? — 28% Yes
• Abortion Laws achieves major milestone? — 37% Yes

Browse all Technology markets →