user-generated· politics
Progressive bloc expands after Michigan Missouri primaries
Following the August 4, 2026 primaries in Michigan and Missouri, the number of incoming House Democrats who refuse to commit to voting for Hakeem Jeffries as speaker increases by at least 5 members. This expansion solidifies a voting bloc that will challenge Jeffries' leadership.
politics · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-08-05
More politics markets
- JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
- Border Security breaks new record this year? — 49% Yes
- Will Supreme Court Justices dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 56% Yes
- Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
- Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
- Energy Independence major announcement before July 2026? — 55% Yes
- Will any state pass legislation by 2026 to significantly alter its official racial or ethnic classification system for state-level data collection? — 40% Yes
- Will the US Census Bureau add a 'Middle Eastern or North African' (MENA) category to the 2030 decennial census? — 70% Yes
Loading…